Пространственная дифференциация городов Центральной Азии в условиях демографической и экологической трансформации: индексный подход и стратегии устойчивого развития
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https://doi.org/10.32523/3107-278X-2026-156-3-178-192Ключевые слова:
демография, пространственная дифференциация, климатическая миграция, ложная урбанизация, ЦУР 11, ЦУР 13, Центральная Азия, полицентричное развитие, эколого-демографическая нагрузкаАннотация
This paper examines spatial differentiation of urban systems in Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Tajikistan under simultaneous demographic and ecological pressure (2019–2024). An Eco-Demographic Stress Index (EDSI) is developed integrating normalised data on net migration balance, urban green space deficit, water stress risk, and urbanisation level. Typology of 21 regions identifies three stable types: absorber cores (EDSI ≥ 0.70; 7 units), buffer zones (0.40–0.69; 2 units), and active donors under critical ecological stress (< 0.40; 12 units). Differentiated planning strategies are proposed in alignment with SDG 11 and SDG 13.
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Copyright (c) 2026 Гульнара Нюсупова, Стивен С. Янг, Асем Сарсембаева, Асел Баятанова, Айгерим Нурболкызы, Чингиз Жумагулов (Автор)
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